Quotes from Peter L. Bernstein

The prospect of getting rich is highly motivating, and few people get rich without taking a gamble.

The real trouble with this world of ours is not that it is an unreasonable world, nor even that it is a reasonable one. The commonest kind of trouble is that it is nearly reasonable, but not quite. Life is not an illogicality; yet it is a trap for logicians. It looks just a little more mathematical and regular than it is; its exactitude is obvious, but its inexactitude is hidden; its wildness lies in wait.3

The Commanding General is well aware that the forecasts are no good. However, he needs them for planning purposes.