Quotes from Daniel Kahneman

reliable way to make people believe in falsehoods is frequent repetition, because familiarity is not easily distinguished from truth.

The media do not just shape what the public is interested in, but also are shaped by it.

It is often the case that when you broaden the frame, you reach more reasonable decisions.

people who are simultaneously challenged by a demanding cognitive task and by a temptation are more likely to yield to the temptation.

people believe a conclusion is true, they are also very likely to believe arguments that appear to support it, even when these arguments are unsound.

La situación proporciona la ocasión; esta da al experto acceso a información almacenada en la memoria, y la información da la respuesta. La intuición no es ni más ni menos que el reconocimiento».

Highly skilled people are less noisy, and they also show less bias.

Beatty e eu trabalhamos juntos durante apenas um ano, mas nossa colaboração teve grande efeito em nossas carreiras subsequentes.

but statistics requires thinking about many things at once, which is something that System 1 is not designed to do.

Overconfidence is another manifestation of WYSIATI: when we estimate a quantity, we rely on information that comes to mind and construct a coherent story in which the estimate makes sense. Allowing for the information that does not come to mind—perhaps because one never knew it—is impossible.

the line between what clinicians can do well and what they cannot do at all well is not obvious, and certainly not obvious to them.

Earlier I traced people's confidence in a belief to two related impressions: cognitive ease and coherence. We are confident when the story we tell ourselves comes easily to mind, with no contradiction and no competing scenario. But ease and coherence do not guarantee that a belief held with confidence is true.

The illusion of skill is not only an individual aberration; it is deeply ingrained in the culture of the industry. Facts that challenge such basic assumptions—and thereby threaten people's livelihood and self-esteem—are simply not absorbed. The mind does not digest them.

It is useful to remember, however, that neglecting valid stereotypes inevitably results in suboptimal judgments. Resistance to stereotyping is a laudable moral position, but the simplistic idea that the resistance is costles is wrong. The costs are worth paying to achieve a better society, but denying that the costs exist, while satisfying to the soul and politically correct, is no scientifically defensible.

the mystery of knowing without knowing is not a distinctive feature of intuition; it is the norm of mental life.

System 2 is sometimes busy, and often lazy. Indeed, there is evidence that people are more likely to be influenced by empty persuasive messages, such as commercials, when they are tired and depleted.

The only difference between the two groups was that the students conceded that they were influenced by the anchor, while the professionals denied that influence.

Many facts of the world are due to chance, including accidents of sampling. Causal explanations of chance events are inevitably wrong.

Acquiring expertise in chess is harder and slower than learning to read because there are many more letters in the "alphabet" of chess and because the "words" consist of many letters. After thousands of hours of practice, however, chess masters are able to read a chess situation at a glance.

If you care about being thought credible and intelligent, do not use complex language where simpler language will do. My

The word fallacy is used, in general, when people fail to apply a logical rule that is obviously relevant.

The main function of System 1 is to maintain and update a model of your personal world, which represents what is normal in it. The model is constructed by associations that link ideas of circumstances, events, actions, and outcomes that co-occur with some regularity, either at the same time or within a relatively short interval.

The errors of a theory are rarely found in what it asserts explicitly; they hide in what it ignores or tacitly assumes.

el esfuerzo de la voluntad o autocontrol es fatigoso; si hemos de forzarnos a hacer algo, estamos menos dispuestos, o somos menos capaces, de ejercer el autocontrol si el próximo reto está cerca. El fenómeno se ha denominado agotamiento del ego.