Quotes About Bias

blinded by his past results.

Furthermore, people who make forecasts professionally are often more affected by such impediments than those who don't.

Events that are nonrepeatable are ignored before their occurrence, and overestimated after (for a while). After

Are we so plagued with the narrative fallacy?

the researcher has the incentive to select the experiment that corresponds to what he was looking for, hiding the failed attempts.

you may be committing an injustice to others by favoring him.

our preference for the anecdotal over the empirical.

how we tend to generalize from what we see.

We call this the problem of silent evidence.

the tendency to look at what confirms our knowledge, not our ignorance)

why does reading the newspaper actually decrease your knowledge of the world?

their intuition getting in the way and blinding them.

The sucker's trap is when you focus on what you know and what others don't know, rather than the reverse.

Because your memory is limited and filtered, you will be inclined to remember those data that subsequently match the facts

than others at whatever we do for a living. Ninety-four percent of Swedes believe that their driving skills put them in the top 50 percent of Swedish drivers; 84 percent of Frenchmen feel that their lovemaking abilities put them in the top half of French lovers.

We see flaws in others and not in ourselves.

Cherry-picking has optionality: the one telling the story (and publishing it) has the advantage of being able to show the confirmatory examples and completely ignore the rest

We cannot teach people to withhold judgment; judgments are embedded in the way we view objects.

Likewise, it is not possible to hold a situation in one's head without some element of bias.

There is a category of people, generally finance academics, who, instead of fitting their actions to their brains, fit their brains to their actions. These people go back and unwittingly cheat with the statistics to justify their actions. In my business, they fool themselves with statistical arguments to justify their option selling.

Men feel the good less intensely than the bad

The bias lowers our perception of the risks we incurred in the past, particularly for those of us who were lucky to have survived them. Your

Indeed we rarely look at religion's benefits in limiting the intervention bias and its iatrogenics: in a large set of circumstances (marginal disease), anything that takes you away from the doctor and allows you to do nothing (hence gives nature a chance to do its work) will be beneficial. So

people look for books that support their mental program.