Quotes About Prediction

The stock market is a discounter of all known information.

I think Khabib is going to take him down immediately, or create some kind of scramble immediately. I don't think Poirier stops his takedowns.

Standing beneath the white light of an Apple store is like standing on a Stanley Kubrick movie set. His '2001: A Space Odyssey' predicted Jobs and a future where technology was our friend. Kubrick, of course, didn't like what he saw. And occasionally, I have my doubts.

Through meteorology, we know essentially how hurricanes form, even though we can't say where the next storm will arise.

The kind of neuroscience that I do and my colleagues do is almost like the weatherman. We are always chasing storms. We want to see and measure storms - brainstorms, that is.

When you expect things to happen - strangely enough - they do happen.

When I was a kid, I would always say I would grow up and make comics. I was right about one of those things.

intend to stop whoever and whatever is attempting to transport Nekropolis to Earth," Maggie said. She glanced at Bartelmeu. "And according to our resident psychic saint, arming you three is our best shot at doing so." Bartelmeu smiled. "And I predict a solid fifty-fifty chance of success! You can't ask for better odds than that!" He frowned. "Well, I suppose you could, but you're not going to get them.

Sitting Bull had predicted the land would get its revenge on whites who forced the Indians off the grasslands. He saw doom from the sky. During this drought, his nephew, One Bull, tried to reverse Sitting Bull's prophecy.

I've learned an important trick: To develop foresight, you need to practice hindsight.

Homo Deus: A Brief History of

Do you understand it?" "Do you think they'll be dominant and growing 3 years from now?" "Do you think this technology will be more or less a part of our lives in 3 years?

Marc es autor de la obra Los delitos del futuro (Ariel, 2015).

Buscan la excepción de la regla porque nadie conoce el futuro. Podemos inventarlo, podemos convencernos de que irá bien.

The books Superforecasting (by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner) and How to Measure Anything (by Douglas W. Hubbard) have some good advice on how to improve your ability to make accurate predictions. And Decisive (by Chip Heath and Dan Heath) explains four of the biggest judgment errors (like framing your decision too narrowly, or letting temporary emotions cloud your judgment) and gives tips for combating them.

Si intentas predecir lo que interesará [al público] y haces contorsiones para adaptarte a esas expectativas

Truth is that which has predictive power.

Topology allows the possibility of making qualitative predictions when quantitative ones are impossible.

She drove as though a fortune-teller had warned her about the day.

The weatherman had said it might rain, so everyone was sure it wouldn't. In L.A., where the weather is the same three hundred and fifty-five days a year, the weatherman is right about fifteen percent of the time, roughly the same average as the handicappers at Santa Anita, astrologers, and the guys who predict lower gasoline prices. Faith in the U.S. Meteorological Service does not run high in Los Angeles.

Things we not hope for often come to pass than things we wish.

Per i prossimo dieci anni la tua vita sarà orribile, avrai grandi problemi e niente ti andrà bene", dice l'indovino. "E poi?", chiede ansioso il cliente. "Poi? Poi ci farai l'abitudine!

Life is full of opportunities. The problem is to recognize them when they present themselves, and that isn't always easy. Mine, for instance, had all the marks of a curse: 'Beware! You run a grave risk of dying in 1993. You mustn't fly that year. Don't fly, not even once,' a fortune-teller told me.

En la vida siempre se presenta una buena oportunidad. El problema radica en saberla reconocer y eso, a menudo, no es tan sencillo. La mía, sin ir más lejos, tenía todo el aspecto de ser una maldición. Un adivino me dijo: "¡Atención! En 1993 correrás un enorme riesgo de muerte. No vueles durante todo ese año. No tomes ningún vuelo".