Quotes About Prediction

I hate prophesies! All they're good for is an extra club to beat yourself up with after the fact.

la función principal de un líder: la capacidad de predecir.

This a bit like forecasting the weather a year ahead. Actually, it's not a bit like that. It's exactly like that.

The existence of matter and energy in the universe did not require the violation of energy conservation at the assumed creation. In fact, the data strongly support the hypothesis that no such miracle occurred. If we regard such a miracle as predicted by the creator hypothesis, then the prediction is not confirmed.

It's pretty hard to make out what's going to be a commercial success and what's not.

The best way to suppose what may come, is to remember what is past.

So often, the best way to figure out who has a shot at winning is by eliminating those that you're pretty sure don't.

Berkshireis in the business of making easy predictions If a deal looks too hard, the partners simply shelve it.

If you bet on a horse, that's gambling. If you bet you can make three spades, that's entertainment. If you bet cotton will go up three points, that's business. See the difference?

Use of paper has continued to soar. It is as though paper is taking its revenge on the futurists - not that any futurist has ever lost business because of a wrong prediction.

I'm not in the business of reading tea leaves. I don't have a crystal ball.

No one has the right to not assume that the business cycle will turn! Every five years or so, you have got to assume that something bad will happen.

For one thing, to predict the advent of big business was considering the conditions of Marx's day an achievement in itself.

Wait a minute. What did you just say? You're predicting $4-a-gallon gas? ... That's interesting. I hadn't heard that.

Washing your car and polishing it all up is a never failing sign of rain.

See that fella over there? He's 20 years old. In 10 years, he's got a chance to be a star. Now that fella over there, he's 20 years old, too. In 10 years he's got a chance to be 30.

If you expect the worst, you can only be suprised

Generative learning cannot be sustained in an organization if people's thinking is dominated by short-term events. If we focus on events, the best we can ever do is predict an event before it happens so that we can react optimally. But we cannot learn to create.

that the event would

One key reason for this is that the top-down, procedural planning approach is highly dependent on making predictions about the future based on past experience.

While it is absurd to blame Marx for something he did not foresee and certainly would have condemned if he had foreseen it, the distanced between Marx's predicted communist society and the form taken by 'communism' in the twentieth century may in the end be traceable to Marx's misconception of the flexibility of human nature.

Vogel makes the prediction, which he stresses is as yet far from established fact, that since living things all have a high water content, the vitality of a person must be in some way related to the rate of respiration. As water moves around the body and through its pores, charges are built.

one of the most reliable predictors of state collapse and high political instability is elite overproduction (Turchin and Nefedov 2009:314).

one can never predict or foresee what lies ahead when it comes to humans and religion.