Quotes About Prediction

ask both the manufacturing and the sales departments to prepare a forecast, so that people are responsible for performing against their own predictions.

Leading indicators give you one way to look inside the black box by showing you in advance what the future might look like. And because they give you time to take corrective action, they make it possible for you to avoid problems.

Because the art and science of forecasting is so complex, you might be tempted to give all forecasting responsibility to a single manager who can be made accountable for it. But this usually does not work very well. What works better is to ask both the manufacturing and the sales departments to prepare a forecast, so that people are responsible for performing against their own predictions.

foreseeable

provided only he knew what to expect. The trader who guessed wrongly what

Lilit's path was to be prepared by 'sixty women wearing gold crowns, who would fill the river valleys with blood.'" "Nonsense," said the witcher. "And what's more, it doesn't rhyme. All decent predictions rhyme.

Anyone,' Avallac'h wiped his hands on a rag, 'can foretell the future. And everyone does it, for it is simple. It is no great art to foretell it. The art is in foretelling it accurately.

A predire il futuro sono buoni tutti. E lo fanno tutti, perché è facilissimo. La vera arte è predirlo in maniera giusta.

I never thought of the future as any kind of solution. The future is always the refuge of fools. It arrives, and they have to explain why it didn't arrive the way it was supposed to, or prove that this was exactly what they predicted. That's why I prefer to drink alone or with friends and wait for the past to take us into its possession. (page 122)

The ability to see into the future the consequences of your choices in the present.

Even one second ahead of you is darkness.

The 50-50-90 rule: anytime you have a 50-50 chance of getting something right, there's a 90% probability you'll get it wrong.

One of the reasons we ignore the tension when we are making decisions . . . one reason we push through and ignore the advice of other people or the voice of our conscience is: We believe we can predict outcomes. Don't we? We think we know. But we don't know. You don't always predict outcomes accurately, do you? Does anybody? If you've ever been disappointed, you know this to be the case.

The function of the fool in the Elizabethan drama, a reference point outside events but inside another kind of logic, the remorseless logic of unreason where all vision is deranged, all action uncoordinated and all responses beyond prediction.

Science chases money and money chases its tail and the best minds of my generation can't make bail. But the bacteria are coming-- that's my prediction. It's the answer to this culture of the quick-fix prescription.

What if these events the Bible says will happen, happens in our lifetime?

I don't really try to predict what can and will happen with things. Sometimes you think something's gonna be a huge success, and it isn't. And sometimes you pay no attention to something whatsoever, and God just makes it into everything.

Whenever I see a stock market explode, six to 12 months later you are in a full blown recovery.

Whenever you try to pick market tops and bottoms, you are making a prediction. Guessing what stock is going to outperform the market is forecasting, as is selling a stock for no apparent reason. Indeed, nearly all capital decisions made by most people are unconscious predictions.

In France, it's easy to know which team is going to win the game, whereas in England, anywhere you play, you know it's going to be difficult.

It's true that you can't take an individual rain droplet and say where it's come from or where it's going to end up. But you can say with pretty good certainty whether it will be cloudy tomorrow.

It is an hypothesis that the sun will rise tomorrow: and this means that we do not know whether it will rise.

Markets work best when there's lots of information available and a historical track record to go on; they excel at predicting things like horse races, election outcomes, and box-office results. But they're bad at predicting things like who will be the next Supreme Court nominee, as that depends on the whim of the president.

If you had asked people in 1929, 'Here is what is about to happen. How much would you pay to avoid the Great Depression from occurring?' The answer is they would have paid a lot. They would have borrowed money if it could be used to prevent the Great Depression.