Quotes About Prediction

turning out as I expected it would.

The major difference between a thing that might go wrong and a thing that cannot possibly go wrong is that…

We can't react in any meaningful way in this amount of time. But what about computers? For a computer, a half-second is a huge amount of time. So say you programmed a computer to see an uptick in a stock's price, send this information back to itself a half-second earlier, and put in a buy order." "I'm

two hundred million in 2027.

Douglas E. Richards

I don't know what weapons will be used to fight World War III.

Physics is the only profession in which prophecy is not only accurate but routine." —Neil deGrasse Tyson

it should at some stage cause people to pause and reflect that the voices almost everybody wanted to demonise and dismiss were in the final analysis the voices whose predictions were nearest to being right.

what makes a measurement of high value is a lot of uncertainty combined with a high cost of being wrong.

Just as I predicted, here we go again. They always say the hottest love has the coldest end.

Creeping determinism means that we pay less attention than we should to the things that don't happen.

Predicting black swans, in other words, requires us not only to see the future outcome about which we're making a prediction but also to see the future beyond that outcome, because only then will its importance be known.

The real problem of prediction, in other words, is not that we are universally good or bad at it, but rather that we are bad at distinguishing predictions that we can make reliably from those that we can't.

Complex systems are not really random in the same way that a coin toss is random, but in practice it's extremely difficult to tell the difference.

If we are to begin to try and understand life as it will be in 1960, we must begin by realizing that food, clothing and shelter will cost as little as air

I'm gonna put all my money into taxes. They're sure to go up.

In life, as in chess, forethought wins.

Hindsight is a wonderful thing but foresight is better, especially when it comes to saving life, or some pain!

Simulmatics died. The fantasy of predicting human behavior by way of machines did not. Instead, it took new forms, forms that depended on forgetting that Simulmatics had ever existed.

Dyer holds that the first twelve days of January portend the weather for the next twelve months.

Maybe I'm getting precognitive in my old age.

God gives us prophecy to warn unbelievers and comfort believers.

Prophecy is only sometimes helpful.

John H.] Sununu promised Republicans that the relatively obscure [David H.] Souter would be a 'home run for conservatives,' but this prediction could not have been more wrong. Souter ended up being one of the liberal members of the Court during the late 1990s and the 2000s, which prompted a 'no more Souters' mantra among conservatives.