Quotes About Prediction

Los políticos son demasiado tontos para que nosotros podamos prever sus acciones aplicando la razón

I quoted to him what I remembered of Charles Darwin: 'Judging by the past, we may safely infer that not one living species will transmit its unaltered likeness to a distant futurity...' Darwin was right, Nebogipfel said gently.

A serious prophet upon predicting a flood should be the first man to climb a tree.

Leigh Freeman moved his printing press to Laramie and set about publishing the Frontier Index there. In its first issue, May 5 [1868], the paper predicted that Laramie would soon rival Chicago. When it was only two weeks old, the Index boasted, "Laramie already contains a population of two thousand inhabitants.

Alexander Graham Bell was said to have made the following entirely endearing remark soon after he had invented the telephone: 'I do not think I am exaggerating the possibilities of this invention,' he said, 'when I tell you that it is my firm belief that one day there will be a telephone in every major town in America.

oneiromancy

If there really is a complete unified theory that governs everything, it presumably also determines your actions. But it does so in a way that is impossible to calculate for an organism that is as complicated as a human being. The reason we say that humans have free will is because we can't predict what they will do.

Any physical theory is always provisional, in the sense that it is only a hypothesis: you can never prove it. No matter how many times the results of experiments agree with some theory, you can never be sure that the next time the result will not contradict the theory.

There is no way that we can predict the weather six months ahead beyond giving the seasonal average

The uncertainty principle signaled an end to Laplace's dream of a theory of science, a model of the universe that would be completely deterministic: one certainly cannot predict future events exactly if one cannot even measure the present state of the universe precisely! We could still imagine that there is a set of laws that determine events completely for some supernatural being, who could observe the present state of the universe without disturbing it.

The present evidence therefore suggests that the universe will probably expand forever, but all we can really be sure of is that even if the universe is going to recollapse, it won't do so for at least another ten thousand million years, since it has already been expanding for at least that long. This

In general, quantum mechanics does not predict a single definite result for an observation. Instead, it predicts a number of different possible outcomes and tells us how likely each of these is.

The uncertainty principle signaled an end to Laplace's dream of a theory of science, a model of the universe that would be completely deterministic: one certainly cannot predict future events exactly if one cannot even measure the present state of the universe precisely!

Despite some early success predicting the motion of celestial bodies, most events in nature appeared to our ancestors to be impossible to predict. Volcanoes, earthquakes, storms, pestilences, and ingrown toenails all seemed to occur without obvious cause or pattern.

Only time (whatever that may be) will tell.

redefining the goal of science: our aim is to formulate a set of laws that enables us to predict events only up to the limit set by the uncertainty principle.

Thus the possibility of time travel remains open. But I'm not going to bet on it. My opponent might have the unfair advantage of knowing the future.

There is a history of the universe in which England win the World Cup again, though maybe the probability is low.

One way or another, I regard it as almost inevitable that either a nuclear confrontation or environmental catastrophe will cripple the Earth at some point in the next 1,000 years

The basic assumption of science is scientific determinism.

Laplace suggested that there should be a set of scientific laws that would allow us to predict everything that would happen in the universe, if only we knew the complete state of the universe at one time.

Indeed, if it were, it would by definition not be random. In modern times, we have effectively removed the third possibility above by redefining the goal of science: our aim is to formulate a set of laws that enables us to predict events only up to the limit set by the uncertainty principle.

Tiap kali percobaan baru memberi hasil yang cocok dengan prediksi, teori harus bertahan, dan keyakinan kita terhadapnya meningkat; tapi jika ada pengamatan baru yang didapati tak cocok, kita harus tinggalkan atau ubah teori itu.

Kita malah memecah persoalan itu menjadi potongan-potongan kecil dan menciptakan sejumlah teori yang hanya menjelaskan sebagian. Tiap teori penjelas sebagian itu menjabarkan dan memprediksi sekelompok terbatas pengamatan, mengabaikan akibat besaran-besaran lain.