Quotes About Prediction

In my Nobel lecture, I suggested we had until the year 2000 to tame the population monster, and then food shortages would take us under. Now I believe we have a little longer.

Usually you have a feel for what a kid's abilities are by the end of their sophomore year.

He who could foresee affairs three days in advance would be rich for thousands of years.

It would appear that we have reached the limits of what it is possible to achieve with computer technology, although one should be careful with such statements, as they tend to sound pretty silly in 5 years.

The architect must be a prophet... a prophet in the true sense of the term... if he can't see at least ten years ahead don't call him an architect.

I predicted in 1950 that in five years, manufacturers the world over would be screaming for protection. It took only four years.

I've actually made a prediction that within 30 years a majority of new cars made in the United States will be electric. And I don't mean hybrid, I mean fully electric.

The absolute transformation of everything that we ever thought about music will take place within 10 years, and nothing is going to be able to stop it. I see absolutely no point in pretending that it's not going to happen. I'm fully confident that copyright, for instance, will no longer exist in 10 years.

The people who control the condition in which we live have no reason to think beyond more than the next five or 10 years.

Twenty years ago, I said there was going to be something that would stop the Soviet Union from taking over the world. And now we see that the Soviet Union has been stopped, through its own disintegration.

Most of the women in Greek tragedies have their fates predetermined. The gods dictate that such and such will happen to them, and everything they predict comes true. Not Medea.

You want to evaluate future borrowers, but in order to train an algorithm that will help you identify future defaults, you have to train it and evaluate it on past data.

The major problem with most attempts to predict a specific outcome, such as interviews, is decontextualization: the attempt takes place in a generalized environment, as opposed to the context in which a behavior or trait naturally occurs.

When most people think of economists, they think of macro-economists. Macro-economists try to describe or - even harder - predict the movements of a hugely dynamic system. They're like a transplant surgeon trying to simultaneously transplant every failing organ in someone's body.

The past is the mirror that reflects the future.

Mindful of this difficulty, Hilaire Belloc predicted the "necessary" conflict between the civil state and the Catholic Church in America. He said in so many words, of course, "the Catholic Church in America." He was not referring to the star-spangled "American Catholic Church" which is after all only a Modernist sect of long standing, with a large growing membership. No conflict with Pilate should arise there.

Many experts believe that a cholera-like pandemic looms. In a survey by the epidemiologist Larry Brilliant, 90 percent of epidemiologists said that a pandemic that will sicken 1 billion, kill up to 165 million, and trigger a global recession that could cost up to $3 trillion would occur sometime in the next two generations.

We expect everything and are prepared for nothing.

When then things to come are said to be seen, it is not themselves which as yet are not (that is, which are to be), but their causes perchance or signs are seen, which already are.

Optimists and pessimists differ only on the date of the end of the world.

Nothing can be predicted. Nobody can give a reason why something happened in this way and not in another. Stronger than all predictions are coincidence and contradiction.' John

You are riding for a fall, Your Grace," "I'll be riding you before Christmas.

One can live in this world on soothsaying but not on truth saying.

Everybody thinks that they're going to time the market, they're going to sharpshoot the market, and buy right at the bottom. The truth of the matter is that nobody is good at it.