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Quotes About Assessment

Judge a book for what it is...not what you want it to be
~ Jim Walsh
Toda hora eu estou em julgamento.
~ João Guimarães Rosa
motherhood should be like driving a car -- you should have to pass a test before you can do it legally.
~ Joan Bauer
October is a time to take stock of our deepest held beliefs.
~ JOAN BORYSENKO
October is a month of introspection and retrospection, of taking stock.
~ JOAN BORYSENKO
Living is hard and judging is easy.
~ Joanna Campbell Slan
Asking a writer what he thinks about critics is like asking what a fire hydrant feels about dogs.
~ Ann Landers
We've had risk assessments performed by Harvard University, which said that even if we did have a small number of cases in this country that the likelihood of it spreading or getting into any kind of human health problem is very, very small.
~ Ann Veneman
Transformational Fiction teaches how to assess, understand, and heal sexuality.
~ Anne Stirling Hastings Ph. D.
Had she punished him enough? How could she be sure?
~ Anne Taintor
Teachers loved to say people had potential; that's what teachers did to keep themselves from getting canned. What were they supposed to say- I'm sorry, your kid has no promise whatsoever? She's utterly mediocre in every way?
~ Anne Ursu
Love does not require taking an uncritical stance toward the object of one's affections. In truth, it often requires the opposite. We can't be of real service to the hopes we have for places—and people, ourselves included—without a clear-eyed assessment of their (and our) strengths and weaknesses.
~ Annette Gordon-Reed
this idea of casting yourself into the future, imagining a failure, and then looking back to try to figure out why is called a premortem. Using a premortem is a great tool to help develop high-quality kill criteria.
~ Annie Duke
RESULTING A mental shortcut in which we use the quality of an outcome to figure out the quality of a decision.
~ Annie Duke
To figure out whether a decision is good or bad, you need to know not just the things that might reasonably happen and what could be gained or lost, but also the likelihood of each possibility unfolding. That means, to become a better decision-maker, you need to be willing to estimate those probabilities.
~ Annie Duke
There's a name for this: Resulting. When people result, they look at whether the result was good or bad to figure out if the decision was good or bad. (Psychologists
~ Annie Duke
Some of these terms had startlingly wide ranges, which I imagine you experienced in your four-person survey. For instance, "real possibility" had a range of about 20% to 80%. A quarter of the people taking the survey thought the term meant 40% of the time or less. A quarter thought it meant 40% to 60%. A quarter thought it meant 60% to 75%. Finally, a quarter thought it meant over 75% of the time.
~ Annie Duke
Kill criteria could consist of information you learn that tells you the monkey isn't trainable or that you're not sufficiently likely to reach your goal, or signs that luck has gone against you.
~ Annie Duke
We treat outcomes as good signals for decision quality, as if we were playing chess. If the outcome is known, it will bias the assessment of the decision quality to align with the outcome quality.
~ Annie Duke
A common, simple way to develop kill criteria is with "states and dates:" "If by (date), I have/haven't (reached a particular state), I'll quit.
~ Annie Duke
If you want some examples, go back to the very first questions I asked you: What were your best and worst decisions of the last year? The point of having you write those down is that most people don't actually think much about their best and worst decisions. They usually start by thinking of their best and worst outcomes and work backward from there. That's due to resulting.
~ Annie Duke
A premortem is an investigation into something awful, but before it happens.
~ Annie Duke
victim of our tendency to equate the quality of a decision with the quality of its outcome.
~ Annie Duke
In addition to making precise (bull's-eye) estimates, offer a range around that estimate to express your uncertainty. Do this by including a lower and upper bound that communicate the size of your target.
~ Annie Duke