Quotes About Chance

Most people are terrible at risk assessment. They tend to overstate the risk of dramatic and unlikely events at the expense of more common and boring (if equally devastating) events.

His best chance of doing so is to engage the public's emotions, for emotion is the enemy of rational argument.

But putting your faith in a coin toss—even for a tiny decision—may at least inoculate you against the belief that quitting is necessarily taboo.

endangered joy of serendipity

Disagreement is necessary in deliberations among mortals. As the saying goes, the more we disagree, the more chance there is that at least one of us is right.

In hermetic isolation, all kinds of bizarre and toxic ideas can fester. Sunlight is the best disinfectant, and exposing a bad idea to the critical glare of other minds provides at least a chance that it will wither and die.

events that occur at random will seem to come in clusters, because it would take a nonrandom process to space them out.

The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong, nor bread to the wise, nor favor to those of skill, but time and chance happen to them all. An essential part of rationality is dealing with randomness in our lives and uncertainty in our knowledge.

But probabilities are not about the world; they're about our ignorance of the world. New information reduces our ignorance and changes the probability.

As Winston Churchill noted, "Always remember, however sure you are that you can easily win, that there would not be a war if the other man did not think he also had a chance.

But probabilities are not about the world; they're about our ignorance of the world.

descuido de la probabilidad».

his book On Nuclear Terrorism, Levi laid out all the things that would have to go right for a terrorist nuclear attack to succeed, noting, "Murphy's Law of Nuclear Terrorism: What can go wrong might go wrong."278 Mueller counts twenty obstacles on the path and notes that even if a terrorist group had a fifty-fifty chance of clearing every one, the aggregate odds of its success would be one in a million.

With a constant probability of ending every year, a war is most likely to end after its first year, slightly less likely to end within two years, a bit less likely to stretch on to three, and so on.

Take a chance. Take a risk. Find that passion and rekindle it. Fall in love all over again. It's really worth it.

We can change in one day. We can fall in love in one day. Anything can happen in one day.

Looking for love is like asking for a new point of departure ... another chance in life.

True love can come more than once.

You've got to take risks if you want to find love.

Necessity knows no magic formulae-they are all left to chance. If a love is to be unforgettable, fortuities must immediately start fluttering down to it like birds to Francis of Assisi's shoulders.

I think the fans would love anybody who played Jacob. I'm just lucky to be the one who got the chance.

In reality, serendipity accounts for one percent of the blessings we receive in life, work and love. The other 99 percent is due to our efforts.

For life, with all its yields of joy and woe Is just a chance o' the prize of learning love.

Love's for fools wise enough to take a chance.