Quotes About Confidence

The confidence that individuals have in their beliefs depends mostly on the quality of the story they can tell about what they see, even if they see little. We often fail to allow for the possibility that evidence that should be critical to our judgment is missing—what we see is all there is.

our excessive confidence in what we believe we know, and our apparent inability to acknowledge the full extent of our ignorance and the uncertainty of the world we live in.

The main obstacle is that subjective confidence is determined by the coherence of the story one has constructed, not by the quality and amount of the information that supports it.

high subjective confidence is not to be trusted as an indicator of accuracy (low confidence could be more informative).

For example, people: believe that they use their bicycles less often after recalling many rather than few instances are less confident in a choice when they are asked to produce more arguments to support it

As we navigate our lives, we normally allow ourselves to be guided by impressions and feelings, and the confidence we have in our intuitive beliefs and preferences is usually justified. But not always. We are often confident even when we are wrong, and an objective observer is more likely to detect our errors than we are.

the person who acquires more knowledge develops an enhanced illusion of her skill and becomes unrealistically overconfident. "We reach the point of diminishing marginal predictive returns for knowledge disconcertingly quickly

people tend to be overly optimistic about their relative standing on any activity in which they do moderately well.

Klein and I eventually agreed on an important principle: the confidence that people have in their intuitions is not a reliable guide to their validity.

Lo sapeva già, ora lui le avrebbe detto che in futuro non ci sarebbe stata alcuna differenza fra quelle regioni, che presto nessuno avrebbe mosso un dito per quello per cui adesso si sacrificava la vita. Ma tutto ciò cosa cambiava? Una certa confidenza con il futuro è una forma di codardia. Credeva davvero che la gente sarebbe diventata più intelligente? Un po' sì, rispose Gauss. Per forza di cose. Ma viviamo in questo momento! Purtroppo, disse.

and the moment you doubt whether you can fly, you cease forever to be able to do it. The reason birds can fly and we can't is simply that they have perfect faith, for to have faith is to have wings.

Most of all, though, he was certain. Doubt did not cloud his days, nor did it disturb his dreams.

Elle les élevait en traçant dans l'espace des lignes invisibles qu'ils respectaient. Des enfants funambules.

I used to be self conscious about my height, but then I thought, fuck that, I'm Harry Potter.

If I was left to my own devices, you would see about ten T-shirts in rotation with maybe a few nice pairs of jeans - but I also like to look good. I like feeling really well put together, I just don't have the aptitude and the knowledge to do that.

No seas modesto en estos tiempos la valentía es un bien bastante escaso.

With anything that would make things better, believe as much as you can—then believe a little more.

Where there is doubt, faith has its reason for being. Clearly faith is not needed where certainty supposedly exists, but only in situations where doubt is possible, even present.

Mine was a crazy dream- but what dream isn't crazy? Can a dream be a dream and be sensible? No. A sensible dream is a plan. Men like us dream, and our dreams come true because we believe in ourselves.

I was borrowing confidence on credit from faith.

Don't let people's words bring you down

the enemy that's going to paralyze you with fear is your own sense of self-importance and your excessive ego. The thought of not living up to the image of yourself that you want everyone to see is a source of tremendous anxiety. At

God made you good, and you are enough. Thanks be to God for the gift of you.

Grandma never understood fear, especially if it was someone else's.