Quotes About Judgment

Fearfulness, contrary to all other vices, maketh a man think the better of another, the worse of himself.

Open suspecting of others comes of secretly condemning ourselves.

Forecasters who see illusory correlations and assume that moral and cognitive weakness run together will fail when we need them most.

The difference between heavyweights and amateurs, she said, is that the heavyweights know the difference between a 60?40 bet and a 40?60 bet.

produce forecast-wrecking

Machines may get better at "mimicking human meaning," and thereby better at predicting human behavior, but "there's a difference between mimicking and reflecting meaning and originating meaning," Ferrucci said. That's a space human judgment will always occupy.

Snap judgments are sometimes essential. As Daniel Kahneman puts it, "System 1 is designed to jump to conclusions from little evidence."13

You see the shadow. Snap! You are frightened—and running. That's the "availability heuristic," one of many System 1 operations—or heuristics—discovered by Daniel Kahneman, his collaborator Amos Tversky, and other researchers in the fast-growing science of judgment and choice.

They are all men (always men) of strong conviction and profound trust in their own judgement.

two hundred studies—has shown that in most cases statistical algorithms beat subjective judgment, and in the handful of studies where they don't, they usually tie. Given that algorithms are quick and cheap, unlike subjective judgment, a tie supports using the algorithm. The point is now indisputable: when you have a well-validated statistical algorithm, use it

superforecasting demands thinking that is open-minded, careful, curious, and—above all—self-critical. It also demands focus. The kind of thinking that produces superior judgment does not come effortlessly. Only the determined can deliver it reasonably consistently, which is why our analyses have consistently found commitment to self-improvement to be the strongest predictor of performance.

We have all been too quick to make up our minds and too slow to change them.

in most cases statistical algorithms beat subjective judgment, and in the handful of studies where they don't, they usually tie. Given

Some people have a great sense of moral responsibility; unfortunately, it's backed up with a poor sense of musical taste. Other people have great musical ability, and very little sense of moral responsibility. It's very difficult to have a good balance. —Eric Clapton

Christians get very angry toward other Christians who sin differently than they do.

Having spent time around "sinners" and also around purported saints, I have a hunch why Jesus spent so much time with the former group: I think he preferred their company. Because the sinners were honest about themselves and had no pretense, Jesus could deal with them. In contrast, the saints put on airs, judged him, and sought to catch him in a moral trap. In the end it was the saints, not the sinners, who arrested Jesus.

We can assume that most people, most of the time, are moral creatures. But imagine that this morality is like a gearshift that at times gets pushed into neutral. When that happens, morality is disengaged. If the car happens to be on an incline, car and driver move precipitously downhill. It is then the nature of the circumstances that determines outcomes, not the driver's skills or intentions.

There is a little good in the worst of us and a little bad in the best of us and it ill behoves any of us to criticize the rest of us.

For most of my life i have been adored by fools and hated by people of good sense, and they all make up stories about me in which I am either a saint or a whore. But I am above these judgments, I am a Queen.

Today, I'd like to slap this seventeen-years old kid, not because of the grades but because of his incessant need to please those who would judge him

Mon cher et vieux maître Limmat, que faisiez-vous donc là, derrière cette table pareille à celle d'un tribunal ? Vous aussi vous saviez donc ?

Maupassant is a man of mitigating circumstances, the lawyer who can bring the jurors around by demonstrating that they too could have committed such a crime. We are all murderers.

At the end of the day, whether or not those people are comfortable with how you're living your life doesn't matter. What matters is whether you're comfortable with it.

Sometimes you make the right decision, sometimes you make the decision right.