Quotes About Probability

Holmesian philosophy more apt: 'When you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth.

but the unlikely happened more often than one would be disposed to believe.

Because, my friend, the more prosaic explanation is nearly always more probable.

Imagination is a good servant and a bad master. The simplest explanation is always the most likely.

It's possible," said Superintendent Battle. "It's only a hypothesis, but it's possible." "It is a little more than possible, my friend—it is also probable.

Strap a piece of toast -buttered side up- to the back of a cat. Throw the cat out of the window. Will the cat land on its feet or will Murphy's law apply?

I think all of us certainly believed the statistics which said that probably 88% chance of mission success and maybe 96% chance of survival. And we were willing to take those odds.

It wasn't always about bravery or some shining inner goodness. It could just as easily be about the position of your name in the alphabet, the chemistry of your blood, or

He knew what he was doing. You probably weren't meant to die." "And that makes me lucky? It wasn't remotely unlucky to end up impaled on a wall in the first place? Just a thought.

This is how attrition happens, I thought to myself. You take one chance too many, imagining that all the previous instances of good fortune have somehow immunised you against hazard, when in fact you have simply been extraordinarily fortunate until now.

It's not clear in physics why you can't see the future.

As far as I'm aware, you can't tell if something is going to be successful. Brilliant scripts often don't get picked up, and terrible ones do all the time!

A property in the 100-year floodplain has a 96 percent chance of being flooded in the next hundred years without global warming. The fact that several years go by without a flood does not change that probability.

The twin gods, Necessity and Chance, walked among the stars. What needed to be, was; what might be, sometimes was." I

The bottom line was that the scheme was a measured risk, with a probability that the RBI would lose money, a certainty that the bankers would make money, but also a reasonable chance that the country would be significantly better off.

To believe in luck - is skepticism.

Embrace probability. Only mathematicians and fools have a tendency to embellish certainty.

A key aspect of a probabilistic fractal is that it enables the generation of a great deal of apparent complexity, including extensive varying detail, from a relatively small amount of design information. Biology uses this same principle. Genes supply the design information, but the detail in an organism is vastly greater than the genetic design information.

En cualquier caso, permítame indicarle que se olvida usted del principio entrópico: no hay destino prefijado, sino un mono aporreando las teclas de una máquina de escribir.

Categories No. 4 and No. 5: Three small cards to a straight and two small cards with an ace.

We must always remember that all medical interventions have risk, and very little can be asserted with 100 percent certainty.

So the chances of you being sentenced to Death Row in America is roughly the same as you winning the lottery.

The probability of apocalypse soon cannot be realistically estimated, but it is surely too high for any sane person to contemplate with equanimity.

Statistically, the probability of any one of us being here is so small that you'd think the mere fact of existing would keep us all in a contented dazzlement of surprise.