Quotes About Uncertainty

It would be nice to see people earn brownie points for acknowledging uncertainty in their beliefs, questioning the dogmas of their political sect, and changing their minds when the facts change, rather than for being steadfast warriors for the dogmas of their clique.

But probabilities are not about the world; they're about our ignorance of the world. New information reduces our ignorance and changes the probability.

The asymmetry has been confirmed in the lab by showing that people will take a bigger gamble to avoid a sure loss than to improve on a sure gain

But probabilities are not about the world; they're about our ignorance of the world.

New information reduces our ignorance and changes the probability. If that sounds mystical or paradoxical, think about the probability that a coin I just flipped landed heads. For you, it's .5. For me, it's 1 (I peeked). Same event, different knowledge, different probability.

This isn't the first time we've been warned of certain ruin. The experts have predicted civilization-ending aerial gas attacks, global thermonuclear war, a Soviet invasion of Western Europe, a Chinese razing of half of humanity, nuclear powers by the dozen, a revanchist Germany, a rising sun in Japan, cities overrun by teenage superpredators, a world war fought over diminishing oil, nuclear war between India and Pakistan, and weekly 9/11-scale attacks.

They left. Among the many dumb rules of paragraphing foisted on students in composition courses is the one that says that a paragraph may not consist of a single sentence. Wilkerson ends a richly descriptive introductory chapter with a paragraph composed of exactly two syllables. The abrupt ending and the expanse of blankness at the bottom of the page mirror the finality of the decision to move and the uncertainty of the life that lay ahead. Good writing finishes strong.

Science is thus a paradigm for how we ought to gain knowledge—not the particular methods or institutions of science but its value system, namely to seek to explain the world, to evaluate candidate explanations objectively, and to be cognizant of the tentativeness and uncertainty of our understanding at any time.

descuido de la probabilidad».

Because in the twenty-first century, when we think by the seat of our pants, every correction can make things worse, and can send our democracy into a graveyard spiral.

Probabilites are not about the world; they're about our ignorance of the world.

We're all doing what we love. It's how we express ourselves - operating in a space where you don't know if something is possible or not.

In some seasons, Jesus asks us, "Will you still love Me when things are not happening the way that you thought they would happen?

Some people fall in love and touch the sky. Some people fall in love and find quicksand. I hover somewhere in between, I swear, I can't make up my mind.

I love the unknown. I think because it brings fear, and to embrace fear is the best feeling.

Life is not orderly. No matter how we try to make it so, right in the middle of it we die, lose a leg, fall in love, or drop a jar of applesauce.

What was it to love someone, what was love exactly, and why did it end or not end? Those were the real questions, and who could answer them?

To love is to live on the precipice.

After another moment's silence she mumbled that I was peculiar, that that was probably why she loved me but that one day I might disgust her for the very same reason.

Live, laugh, love, every day to it's fullest, for who knows, tomorrow, may not be.

Everything grows rounder and wider and weirder, and I sit here in the middle of it all and wonder who in the world you will turn out to be.

Two or three things I know for sure, and one of them is the way you can both hate and love something you are not sure you understand.

Show me your sun. The rhythm of your eyes. Love is not as certain as this hypnotic time.

I have no idea what I'm doing, and that's kind of how I love it.