Quotes About Likelihood

Statistically speaking, he reflects, you're more likely to be killed by a member of your own family or a close friend, than by anyone else.

A reasonable probability is the only certainty.

I want to let my friend Buster know that I would like to have dinner with him tonight. Does Buster work at home? Then how likely is he to have his cell phone on? Is he one of those people who only turns on his cell when he's in his car? I hate that.

I was a book editor for nine years. I'm familiar with the opposite experience, bracing myself for the likelihood that no one would want to publish my book.

I want to let my friend Buster know that I would like to have dinner with him tonight. Does Buster work at home? Then how likely is he to have his cell phone on? Is he one of those people who only turns on his cell when he's in his car? I hate that.

Highly unlikely but not impossible.

Outliers are increasingly unlikely. You

The fact that you got heads or tails on the previous flip does not change the odds of your getting heads or tails on the next one.

Outside of textbooks and casinos, probability almost never presents itself as a mathematical problem or a brain teaser.

as they think that they will beat the odds.

No one in particular is a good predictor of anything. Sorry.

could not understand what made one explanation more likely than the other

The occurrence of a highly improbable event is the equivalent of the nonoccurrence of a highly probable one

El hecho de añadir a causa de hace que el hecho parezca más verosímil, y mucho más probable. El cáncer producido por el tabaco parece más probable que el cáncer sin una causa determinada; una causa indeterminada significa la inexistencia de una causa.

If there are 60,000 blue marbles and 40,000 red marbles in a giant urn, then the most likely composition of a sample of 100 marbles drawn randomly from the urn would be 60 blue marbles and 40 red marbles.

some might have 62 blue marbles and 38 red marbles, or 58 blue and 42 red. But the chances of drawing any random sample that deviates hugely from the composition of marbles in the urn are very, very low.

That's damned likely," Gant interjected

Some behavior is more probable, other behavior more improbable.

We usually speak of probability when we do not have all the data.

bottom of the list. No one there has a probability over ten percent. I've got a couple who hit low

Every time one person gets a piece of information, the likelihood of that information being exposed grows exponentially. It's no longer two people. It's two people squared.

The Declaration of Independence, the Constitution, the Civil War - when I really think about them, they all seem about as likely as the parting of the Red Sea.

How much do I really believe that will happen? • What do I think is the most likely thing to happen? • What is the most unlikely thing to occur? • What could I do if that happened? Tell yourself: • Ideas can sound frightening, but that doesn't make them true.

The way our subconscious tells us that if it never happened before, it never will. But if it happened, especially pretty recently, it tells us it's about to happen again.