Quotes About Decision-making

Conscious doubt is not in the repertoire of System 1; it requires maintaining incompatible interpretations in mind at the same time, which demands mental effort. Uncertainty and doubt are the domain of System 2.

Wherever there is judgment, there is noise—and more of it than we think.

judgment heuristics "are quite useful, but sometimes lead to severe and systematic errors.

In particular, the accurate intuitions of experts are better explained by the effects of prolonged practice than by heuristics. We can now draw a richer and more balanced picture, in which skill and heuristics are alternative sources of intuitive judgments and choices.

El exceso de optimismo de los directivos puede atribuirse tanto a sesgos cognitivos (errores en el procesamiento mental de la información) como a presiones organizativas.

THE VALUES ARE UNEQUAL BECAUSE OF LOSS AVERSION

Regret, frustration, and self-satisfaction can also be affected by framing (Kahneman & Tversky, 1982). If

Daniel Kahneman

The increase in man's power over his environment has not been accompanied by a concomitant improvement of his ability to make rational use of that power

The interaction of the two systems is a recurrent theme of the book, and a brief synopsis of the plot is in order.

Although we know the end of the maze holds death (and it is something I have not always known--not long ago the adolescent in me thought death could happen only to other people), I see now that the path I choose through that maze makes me what I am. I am not only a thing, but also a way of being--one of many ways--and knowing the paths I have followed and the ones left to take will help me understand what I am becoming.

Most of us have adopted a strategy to get along called satisficing, a term coined by the Nobel Prize winner Herbert Simon, one of the founders of the fields of organization theory and information processing. Simon wanted a word to describe not getting the very best option but one that was good enough. For things that don't matter critically, we make a choice that satisfies us and is deemed sufficient.

The Contrarian's Guide to Leadership (2005). He advises that a leader "needs to be able to see the shades of gray inherent in a situation in order to make wise decisions as to how to proceed" (p. 7). He encourages leaders to examine all arguments without forming an opinion, using an F. Scott Fitzgerald quote for support: "The test of a first-rate mind is the ability to hold two opposing thoughts at the same time while still retaining the ability to function

The Western world, he believed, was afflicted by the curse of short-term thinking, the inevitable result of democracy.

Never advise anyone to go to war or to marry.

Aun así, soy de los que opinan que nunca es demasiado tarde para volver a ese sitio donde nos desviamos y tomar la decisión correcta. Soy de la idea que nunca es demasiado tarde.

quieres. Frunces tu entrecejo, hablas duro y escondes tus dientes solo porque determinas hacerlo. Ríes si se te antoja o no ríes, porque tú y nadie más que tú así lo decides.

Politics is the process by which a society chooses the rules that will govern it.

Indecision is the source of chaos." - Paris Skyle(Allies of the Night)

Don't say yes until I finish talking.

If a woman has to choose between catching a fly ball and saving an infant's life, she will choose to save the infant's life without even considering if there are men on base.

she could recall her father telling her when she kept putting off unpleasant chores that she should always shoot the biggest wolf first. After that, the rest were less scary.

Brota soupira et décida de ne pas se mêler de cette affaire. Quand les hommes se comportent comme des enfants, les femmes doivent se tenir à l'écart. —

Bilateral symmetry can have grave consequences for a police officer in a tense situation where he is holding a pistol on a suspect.