Quotes About Evaluation

So, a heuristic: if someone has a long bio, I skip him

you are rewarded for perception, not results.

that to understand successes and analyze what caused them, we need to study the traits present in failures.

Let us remember that economists are evaluated on how intelligent they sound, not on a scientific measure of their knowledge of reality.

that an evaluation causes you to be judged not by the end results, but by some intermediary metric that invites you to look sophisticated, brings some distortions.

Getting rich results in his seeing flaws in the goods and services he buys.

This example not only gives us an idea of harm done by those who intervene, but, worse, it illustrates the lack of awareness of the need to look for a break-even point between benefits and harm.

Know how to rank beliefs not according to their plausibility but by the harm they may cause.

How was your year?" brings them a small but containable spasm of pain deep inside, since almost all of their years will seem wasted to someone looking at their life from the outside.

while the lives saved by the drug might not be accounted for anywhere.

the only effective judge of things is time

So we are a little better than animals, after all—but perhaps not by much.

To value a person consider the difference between how he or she was impressive at the first encounter and the most recent one.

We use reference points in our heads, say sales projections, and start building beliefs around them because less mental effort is needed to compare an idea to a reference point than to evaluate it in the absolute (System 1 at work!). We cannot work without a point of reference.

Give me a few lines written by any man and I will find enough to get him hung

One needs to be intelligent in recognizing the favorable outcome and knowing what to discard.

but would treat cost of search as "loss.

We cannot teach people to withhold judgment; judgments are embedded in the way we view objects.

Nunca pergunte, a quem quer que seja, qual é sua opinião, previsão ou recomendação. Simplesmente pergunte o que a pessoa tem — ou não — em seu portfólio de investimentos.

In fact for most people except those that are very ill, the risks outweigh the benefits.

by exposing an idea in raw form, allows it to be judged by the public.

their intention was to bring a critical "balance" and use me as a counter to the numerous imaginative forecasts

Clearly, the quality of a decision cannot be solely judged based on its outcome

A book review, good or bad, can be far more descriptive of the reviewer than informational about the book itself.