Quotes About Insight

It is often the case that when you broaden the frame, you reach more reasonable decisions.

When experts and the public disagree on their priorities, he says, "Each side must respect the insights and intelligence of the other.

You have now been introduced to that stranger in you, which may be in control of much of what you do, although you rarely have a glimpse of it.

We marvel at the story of the firefighter who has a sudden urge to escape a burning house just before it collapses, because the firefighter knows the danger intuitively, "without knowing how he knows." However, we also do not know how we immediately know that a person we see as we enter a room is our friend Peter.

the accurate intuitions of experts are better explained by the effects of prolonged practice than by heuristics.

the following two statements mean exactly the same thing: Large samples are more precise than small samples. Small samples yield extreme results more often than large samples do.

I found in the collaboration was that Amos frequently saw the point of my vague ideas much more clearly than I did.

The ultimate test of an explanation is whether it would have made the event predictable in advance.

Close your eyes.

two important facts about our minds: we can be blind to the obvious, and we are also blind to our blindness.

people who spend their time, and earn their living, studying a particular topic produce poorer predictions than dart-throwing monkeys who would have distributed their choices evenly over the options. Even in the region they knew best, experts were not significantly better than nonspecialists.

In the competition with the inside view, the outside view doesn't stand a chance.

In other words, people who spend their time, and earn their living, studying a particular topic produce poorer predictions than dart-throwing monkeys who would have distributed their choices evenly over the options. Even in the region they knew best, experts were not significantly better than nonspecialists.

And the more luck was involved, the less there is to be learned.

It is difficult to reconstruct what it was that took us years, long hours of discussion, endless exchanges of drafts and hundreds of e-mails negotiating over words, and more than once almost giving up. But this is what always happens when a project ends reasonably well: once you understand the main conclusion, it seems it was always obvious.

it is easier to recognize other people's mistakes than our own.

more intelligent individuals are more likely than others to have rich representations of most things.

When the question is difficult and a skilled solution is not available, intuition still has a shot: an answer may come to mind quickly—but it is not an answer to the original question.

do not simply trust intuitive judgment—your own or that of others—but do not dismiss it, either.

You are more likely to learn something by finding surprises in your own behavior

Conditions for Intuitive Expertise: A Failure to Disagree.

an objective observer is more likely to detect our errors than we are

You know you have made a theoretical advance when you can no longer reconstruct why you failed for so long to see the obvious. Still, it took us years to explore the implications of thinking about outcomes as gains and losses.

theory-induced blindness: once you have accepted a theory and used it as a tool in your thinking, it is extraordinarily difficult to notice its flaws.