Quotes About Analysis

The Decision to Seed Hurricanes," a paper coauthored by Stanford professor Ron Howard. Howard was one of the founders of a new field called decision analysis. Its idea was to force decision makers to assign probabilities to various outcomes: to make explicit the thinking that went into their decisions before they made them.

Cambiando el contexto en que se comparan dos cosas se ocultan ciertos rasgos y emergen otros a la superficie

don't be an ape! Think for yourself along rational lines. Hypothesize, test against the evidence, never accept that a question has been answered as well as it ever will be.

People only care about data when the shit hits the fan. 'Oh my God, what's going on??? We need data!

began by pointing out the small mountain of research that suggested that expert judgment was less reliable than algorithms.

The CDC had lots of great people, but it was at heart a massive university. "A peacetime institution in a wartime environment," Carter called it. Its people were good at figuring out precisely what had happened, but by the time they'd done it, the fighting was over.

Amos approached intellectual life strategically, as if it were an oil field to be drilled, and after two years of sitting through philosophy classes he announced that philosophy was a dry well. "I remember his words," recalled Amnon. "He said, 'There is nothing we can do in philosophy. Plato solved too many of the problems. We can't have any impact in this area. There are too many smart guys and too few problems left, and the problems have no solutions.

You Can Be a Stock Market Genius

Mental masturbation is actually an important concept. It's when you talk in circles for an hour and reach no decision.

to find the phenomenon and then explain it in a way that applies to other situations

Statistics wasn't just boring numbers; it contained ideas that allowed you to glimpse deep truths about human life. "Because

It was also possible to back out from the box scores the pace at which various college teams played—how often they went up and down the court. Adjusting a college player's stats for his team's pace of play was telling. Points and rebounds meant one thing when the team took 150 shots a game and something different when it took just 75. Just adjusting for pace gave you a clearer picture of what any given player had accomplished than the conventional view did.

Financial markets are a collection of arguments.

The smaller the sample size, the more likely that it is unrepresentative of the wider population...people can be taught the correct rule, perhaps even with little difficulty. The point remains that people do not follow the correct rule, when left to their own devices.

I think the notion of worldbuilding is a failure of literary sophistication.

Eric and I try to analyse this phenomenon and decide it can only be that the Swedes have no sense of humour of their own and have to import it.

In the United States, for over a hundred years, the ruling interests tirelessly propagated anticommunism among the populace, until it became more like a religious orthodoxy than a political analysis

One good way to understand a complex system is to disturb it and then see what happens.

From a typical McDonald's meal] this is how the laboratory measured our meal: soda (100%), milk shake (78%), salad dressing (65%), chicken nuggets (56%), cheeseburger (52%), and French fries (23%).

In one analysis, a typical American population that departed even modestly from the Western diet (and lifestyle) could reduce its chances of getting coronary heart disease by 80 percent, its chances of type 2 diabetes by 90 percent, and its chances of colon cancer by 70 percent.

I talk about the NFL Draft on a daily basis because this is the sport I cover - this is the show I do - and I talk about everything that's taking place every single day.

Every single person in the profession has an engine as a helper now. The engines contain six or seven million games, searchable by opening move, player, country, time control. That makes it possible to really research your opponent.

Here's the thing: If you're monitoring every single thing that goes on in a given culture, if you have all the information that is there to be had, then that is the equivalent of having none of it. How are you going to process that amount of information?

When I start thinking about a role, I read the script a few times and then let it sink in - and then take some time to develop how that character is going to play out and what he's going to do.