Quotes About Analysis

His (Claude Legrand's) method is founded in a simple directive: Don't conclude that the problem as it's first presented, or as you first perceive it, is indeed the actual problem. If you do, and you've got it wrong, the solution you produce may also be wrong. The first step to figuring out what your problem is, Legrand says, is to deconstruct it by questioning it.

A SWOT analysis involves asking, "What are our strengths and weaknesses? What are our opportunities? What are the threats?

failure promotes success only if you actually take the time to analyze your mistakes.." "Failure has to be separated from fault, and for many people that requires a bit of deprogramming, as we learn early on that they are one and the same." "In this framework, intention is extremely important.

Sip Someone else's logic then spit it out

In other words, if geometry was top-down mathematics, the method of indivisibles was bottom-up mathematics.

Time is the best critic.

the lack of testing meant that intelligence analysts lacked robust feedback loops

Less noticed was Tetlock's other finding: predicting the future wasn't just lucky guessing. Some people did much, much better than average.115 He called them superforecasters.

It's difficult for analysts to get better at predicting when they don't know if their past predictions were ever any good.30

Put most simply, intelligence is information that gives policymakers an advantage over their adversaries.

Physicist Richard Feynman once said that analysis is how we try not to fool ourselves.129

Early signs of gaps between results and plans must be viewed first as data – triggering analysis – before concluding that the gaps are clear and obvious evidence of employee underperformance.

Solvay Business School Professor Paul Verdin and I developed a perspective that frames an organization's strategy as a hypothesis rather than a plan.62 Like all hypotheses, it starts with situation assessment and analysis –strategy's classic tools. Also, like all hypotheses, it must be tested through action. When strategy is seen as a hypothesis to be continually tested, encounters with customers provide valuable data of ongoing interest to senior executives.

economist can be a political scientist, but the opposite is difficult for political scientists

Como ler - essa é uma grande questão que vamos encontrando a toda hora nesse mergulho pelos livros essenciais. Ler criticamente é uma das respostas. Significa que não se lê para concordar servilmente em atitude reverente, mas também não se lê para discordar e refutar num eterno desafio.

Beware of economists who hide assumptions.

It's easy K. on one side of the page you got your costs and on the other side your benefits. All you do is mark which one is which, then you weigh one side against the other and you get your decision just like that. that's all you ever have to do. i live by this." "But what if you don't know the difference between a benefit and a cost? what if you've never been very good at telling a plus from a minus?

bonus." The subject is anti-Americanism for its own sake, where resorting to general assumptions about the United States contributes nothing, either descriptively or analytically, to understanding the topic at hand, but instead chiefly serves the purpose of confirming and mobilizing preexisting prejudices.

Anti-Americanism is an emotion masquerading as an analysis, a morality, an ideal, even an idea about what to do. When hatred of foreign policies ignites into hatred of an entire people and their civilization, then thinking is dead and demonology lives. When complexity of thought devolves into caricature, intellect is close to reconciling itself to mass murder.

Theologians, and religionists in general, start with a fantasy premise and then proceed to apply rigorous formal logic to tease out its implications. Stark himself points out that "theology consists of formal reasoning about God." This is admirably exact. Theologians, beginning with a wished-for creation of their own minds, analyze that creation's characteristics by rigorous application of the principles of formal—that is, deductive—logic.

So another thing I learn is that Sherlock Holmes always finds the right clue, and I don't.

So we might say that the most important thing one can acquire in college is a well-functioning bullshit meter.

As a result, astronomy is sometimes called an observational science; we often make our tests by observing many samples of the kind of object we want to study and noting carefully how different samples vary.

The difference between "significant" and "not significant" is not itself statistically significant