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Quotes About Estimates

Estimates of the ionic mobilities vary over a considerable range; but in any event, the positive ionic defect is much more mobile in the solid than in the liquid, and its mobility varies very little with the temperature.
~ Lars Onsager
There are tens of thousands of bank branches and 4,000 currency chests. We need to be careful and try that this is a number which is not a mere estimate but a verified number both physically and in the accounting sense.
~ Urjit Patel
If we knew where every Soviet missile and tank was, there could be no surprise attacks or false "missile gaps" based on erroneous estimates, such as had underwritten Kennedy's arms-buildup in the Sixties. To print Peck's article would strike a blow against the war machine.
~ David Horowitz
Accounts of how many residents were sent into exile in Babylonia diverge. The Book of Jeremiah (53: 28–30) writes of 4,600 men, making for an estimated total of 18,000; meanwhile, the Second Book of Kings refers to 8,000 to 10,000 men, for a total population of 40,000.
~ David N. Myers
Oral Roberts's informal estimate of 10 percent healed (Stewart, Only Believe, 58); in the modern faith movement, see Barron, Gospel, 125–36. Van Brenk, "Wagner," 257, cites 29 percent completely healed for Wagner (which would be quite high).
~ Craig S. Keener
In which estimate lies the greater reality—the uncharitable one permitted us before the funeral forced without any claptrap in the skirmish of daily life, or the one that suffuses us with sadness at the family gathering afterward—even an outsider can't judge.
~ Philip Roth
According to Section 2.4.2.3 of the PMBOK® Guide, iterative and incremental life cycles are those in which the project scope is generally determined early in the project life cycle, but time and cost estimates are routinely modified as the project team's understanding of the product increases.
~ Unknown
I have also known of weight estimates by ultrasound to be off by as much as five pounds.
~ Ina May Gaskin
Most of us would never consider getting our car repaired without first receiving an estimate of the charges, but this is exactly what we do when we need to go to a hospital for treatment.
~ Dan Lipinski
First, that the number of Soviet troops116 in Cuba was not seven thousand, as we had at first supposed, or seventeen thousand, as the CIA estimated at the end of the crisis, but forty-two thousand. And second, that along with SAMs and ballistic missiles, they had been secretly equipped with over a hundred tactical nuclear weapons, warheads included. So
~ Daniel Ellsberg
There will always be divergence of views on the output gap, as it is unobservable in a rigorous direct sense. There are only estimates. How can there be a strong consensus on that?
~ Urjit Patel
According to recent estimates, life on Earth will last for another billion years, until it will be destroyed by the increase in solar temperature.
~ Unknown
Determinants of prices have their effect only through the medium of the subjective estimates of individuals; and the extent to which any given factor influences these subjective estimates can never be predicted.
~ Ludwig von Mises
some estimates suggest that the failure rate is around 20 percent, meaning that each year, one of every five hedge funds goes up in smoke.
~ John C. Bogle
Most industrial accidents are caused by human error: estimates range between 75 and 95 percent. How is it that so many people are so incompetent? Answer: They aren't. It's a design problem.
~ Donald A. Norman
Dr. Kent Kiehl, neuroscientist and author of The Psychopath Whisperer, a man who's dedicated his life's work to clinical brain imaging in order to understand mental illness, especially criminal psychopathy, says, "The best current estimate is that just less than one percent of all noninstitutionalized males age eighteen and over are psychopaths.
~ M. William Phelps
Within a year, the cardinal's estimates were shown to be woefully inadequate, and Parois was up in arms.
~ John Guy
Estimates of casualties, civilian and military, are notoriously inexact, but it is likely that some 27 million Soviet citizens died as a direct result of the war—roughly 90 times the number of Americans who died. Victory could hardly have been purchased at greater cost: the U.S.S.R. in 1945 was a shattered state, fortunate to have survived. The war, a contemporary observer recalled, was "both the most fearful and the proudest memory of the Russian people."2
~ John Lewis Gaddis
Today's world population is 6.3 billion. To give a sense of the impact in today's world of the 1918 pandemic, one has to adjust for population. If one uses the lowest estimate of deaths—the 21 million figure—that means a comparable figure today would be 73 million dead. The higher estimates translate into between 175 and 350 million dead.
~ John M. Barry
The lowest estimate of the pandemic's worldwide death toll is twenty-one million, in a world with a population less than one-third today's. That estimate comes from a contemporary study of the disease and newspapers have often cited it since, but it is almost certainly wrong. Epidemiologists today estimate that influenza likely caused at least fifty million deaths worldwide, and possibly as many as one hundred million.
~ John M. Barry
The location of an activity on the continuum provides guidance on how much reversion to the mean is necessary in making your predictions. High correlations imply limited reversion to the mean; the best estimate for the next outcome is something close to the previous one. Low correlations require substantial reversion to the mean, and the most logical guess for the next outcome is the average. Psychologists have demonstrated that we typically fail to regress to the mean as much as we should.
~ Michael J. Mauboussin
while the abortion rate is higher for unmarried women, married women, especially those who have had all the children they choose to have, probably obtain the majority of all abortions.12 Estimates of the proportion of married women among abortion seekers vary from 40 to 90 percent.13 Nor is abortion exclusively or even primarily an activity of one social class or another. Substantial numbers of both rich and poor women are known to obtain abortions.
~ Unknown
The United Nations has estimated that there are 5,000 honor killings a year, almost all in the Muslim world. But that estimate appears too low, because so many of the executions are disguised as accidents or suicides.
~ Nicholas D. Kristof
Maybe as many as two thousand in the US, five or six hundred in Canada, and about four hundred in Mexico.
~ Patricia Briggs