Quotes from Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Consider that the feeling of safety reached its maximum when the risk was at the highest!

Economics cannot digest the idea that the collective (and the aggregate) are disproportionately less predictable than individuals.

some classes of people use hidden options and harm the collective without anyone realizing.

Randomness will be ruled out as a possible factor in the performance

many problems in society come from the interventions of people who sell complicated solutions because that's what their position and training invite them

the wealthiest are to be found among those less suspected to be wealthy.

The reader knows my opinion on unsolicited advice and sermons on how to behave in life.

In a now famous experiment they found that the majority of people, whether predictors or nonpredictors, will judge a deadly flood (causing thousands of deaths) caused by a California earthquake to be more likely than a fatal flood (causing thousands of deaths) occurring somewhere in North America (which happens to include California).

The strength of a creed did not rest on "evidence" of the powers of its gods, but evidence of the skin in the game on the part of its worshippers.

A energia em excesso liberada em uma reação exagerada aos contratempos é o que promove a inovação! Essa

The antifragile gains from prediction errors, in the long run. If you follow this idea to its conclusion, then many things that gain from randomness should be dominating the world today—and things that are hurt by it should be gone. Well, this turns out to be the case.

law: innocent until proven guilty as opposed to guilty until proven innocent

We also saw the solution in forcing skin in the game.

while the statements are dressed up to look as if they were made for the benefit of the collective.

many problems in society come from the interventions of people who sell complicated solutions because that's what their position and training invite them to do.

Popper elaboró una teoría a gran escala en torno a esa asimetría, basada en una técnica llamada «falsación» (falsar es demostrar que se está equivocado) que está destinada a distinguir entre la ciencia y la no ciencia;

Light control works; close control leads to overreaction, sometimes causing the machinery to break into pieces. In a famous paper "On Governors," published in 1867, Maxwell modeled the behavior and showed mathematically that tightly controlling the speed of engines leads to instability.

This, perhaps, is true self-confidence: the ability to look at the world without the need to find signs that stroke one's ego.*

cash borrowed from destiny with some random payback time.

The fragility of every startup is necessary for the economy to be antifragile, and that's what makes, among other things, entrepreneurship work: the fragility of individual entrepreneurs and their necessarily high failure rate.

if something is fragile, its risk of breaking makes anything you do to improve it or make it "efficient" inconsequential unless you first reduce that risk of breaking.

this approach is exactly backward:

how people can cherry-pick ethical rules to fit their actions.

you are rewarded for perception, not results.