Quotes from Scott Adams

I sometimes describe this situation in a more generic sense as having a system instead of a goal. A goal is, by definition, one way to win and infinite ways to lose. A good system gives you lots of ways to win and far fewer ways to fail.

La experiencia personal. (La percepción humana no es digna de confianza.) 2. La experiencia de sus conocidos. (Menos fiable, si cabe.) 3. Los expertos. (Trabajan por dinero, no para descubrir la verdad.) 4. Los estudios científicos. (Correlación ? causación.) 5.

Word-thinking is a term I invented to describe a situation in which people are trying to win an argument by adjusting the definition of words. In these situations there is no appeal to reason. But that's okay, because facts and logic are not persuasive anyway. Word-thinking usually happens when people are bad at logic but don't realize it.

Insanity is always a reasonable diagnosis when you're dealing with writers and artists

I'm giving you permission to take care of yourself first, so you can do a better job of being generous in the long run.

El sentido común. (Una buena manera de equivocarse con total confianza.) 6. La detección de patrones. (Los patrones, las coincidencias y los prejuicios personales se parecen.)

long seen failure as a tool, not an outcome.

Prior to the summer of 2016, while Senator Bernie Sanders was still competing for the Democratic nomination, the Clinton persuasion game was nonexistent. I have already described her campaign's backward-persuasion tweeting and their artless campaign slogans. As far as I could tell, no one trained in persuasion was advising the Clinton team. I saw no signs of that talent whatsoever, and the signs would have been obvious to me.

We think we are reasonable and rational most of the time. But what hypnotists have long known, and scientists have in recent years confirmed, is that our decisions are often made without appeal to the rational parts of our brains. We literally make our decisions first and then create elaborate rationalizations for them after the fact.

En nuestras vidas, desordenadas e imperfectas, lo más parecido que tenemos a la verdad es la coherencia.

When a decision involves lots of facts, and we have access to all the facts, we are more likely to hallucinate that we used our powers of reason to reach a decision. But when we recognize that we don't have all the facts, we hallucinate that we used our gut feeling to bridge the gap. In both cases we acted irrationally, and we tried to rationalize it to ourselves after the fact. That's how the Persuasion Filter sees it.

You can do what you want but you cannot want what you want.

Did the businessman owe his current employer loyalty? Not in his view. The businessman didn't invent capitalism, and he didn't create its rules. He simply played within the rules. His employers wouldn't have hesitated to fire him at the drop of a hat for any reason that fit their business needs. He simply followed their example.

La coherencia es el mejor marcador de la verdad del que disponemos, por imperfecto que sea.

As it turns out, business writing is all about getting to the point and leaving out all of the noise. You think you already do that in your writing, but you probably don't. Consider

Passionate people who fail don't get a chance to offer their advice to the rest of us. But successful passionate people are writing books and answering interview questions about their secrets for success every day.

Cuando busque la verdad, su mejor opción es buscar una confirmación al menos en dos de las dimensiones que he incluido en la lista.

you aren't a therapist. Walk away from the soul suckers. You have a right to pursue happiness and an equal right to run as fast as you can from the people who would deny it.

And always remember that failure is your friend. It is the raw material of success. Invite it in. Learn from it. And don't let it leave until you pick its pocket. That's a system.

Trump's many "mistakes" can be misleading. For example, he knows that saying provocative and often untrue statements will attract energy—which is good—but it comes with a high cost. You can't evaluate the costs of Trump's persuasion systems independently of the benefits. You have to look at the net.

Por ejemplo, si un estudio indica que no comer otra cosa que tarta de chocolate es una manera estupenda de perder peso, pero tiene un amigo que prueba esa dieta y no hace más que engordar, tiene dos dimensiones que no encajan. (Y si cuenta el sentido común, tres.) Eso es una falta de coherencia.

If you ask a billionaire the secret of his success, he might say it is passion, because that sounds like a sexy answer that is suitably humble. But after a few drinks I think he'd say his success was a combination of desire, luck, hard work, determination, brains, and appetite for risk. So forget about passion when you're planning your path to success.

to letting the environment dictate how you feel on any given day, it would be like a minor superpower.

In this sort of situation, all it takes is one idiot to suggest witchcraft as the problem, and from that point on, confirmation bias does the rest. Once your brain filter is set to look for witches, all evidence fits into the "witch" frame.