Quotes About Forecasting

Planning means looking ahead.

I don't think the economy telegraphs very clearly where it's going.

A hotel mini bar allows you to see what a can of Pepsi will cost in twenty years.

predictions can't vary more than the thing being forecast.

And then it will rain.

It is always wise to look ahead, but difficult to look farther than you can see.

It is the ability to make predictions about the future that is the crux of intelligence.

One can't predict the weather more than a few days in advance.

I like the fact that the weather forecast is always wrong. In a world of BlackBerry insta-connection, Google research, and Hadron Colliders, it is a daily reminder of the ultimate ignorance of man. It is a signpost towards all the enormous things we cannot understand.

Ensuring the San Luis Valley's Radar data is fully integrated into National Weather Service systems will improve weather forecasting and warnings across southern Colorado for the benefit of farmers, ranchers, tourists, first responders, water district managers, and the general population.

Barometer, n.: An ingenious instrument which indicates what kind of weather we are having.

I wrote a piece of software in 1998 that created fictional weather.

Some things, like the orbits of the planets, can be calculated far into the future. But that's atypical. In most contexts, there is a limit. Even the most fine-grained computation can only forecast British weather a few days ahead. There are limits to what can ever be learned about the future, however powerful computers become.

I find that predicting the course of our lives is like predicting the weather. You might be able to predict your future in the short term, but the longer you look ahead, the less likely you are to be correct.

The Fifties and Sixties were years of unreal optimism about weather forecasting. Newspapers and magazines were filled with hope for weather science, not just for prediction but for modification and control. Two technologies were maturing together: the digital computer and the space satellite.

I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.

It does not pay a prophet to be too specific." —L. Sprague de Camp

Prophesying is lying professionally.

The art of prophecy is very difficult, especially with respect to the future.

It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future.

Bust most experts think on a timescale of academic grants and college jobs. Hence, 'very far away' may mean twenty years, 'never' may denote no more than fifty

What I sell is the higher knowledge of knowing whats next and not following the trend of whats now.

The most serious failure of leadership is the failure to foresee

Less noticed was Tetlock's other finding: predicting the future wasn't just lucky guessing. Some people did much, much better than average.115 He called them superforecasters.