Quotes About Randomness

The notion of future mixed with chance, not a deterministic extension of your perception of the past, is a mental operation that our mind cannot perform.

Some things benefit from shocks; they thrive and grow when exposed to volatility, randomness, disorder, and stressors and love adventure, risk, and uncertainty. Yet, in spite of the ubiquity of the phenomenon, there is no word for the exact opposite of fragile. Let us call it antifragile. Antifragility is beyond resilience or robustness. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better.

cualquier cosa atrapada en la planificación tiende a fracasar, precisamente, a causa de estos atributos: es un mito que la planificación ayude a las grandes empresas porque, como hemos visto, el mundo es demasiado aleatorio e imprevisible para basar una política en la visibilidad del futuro. Lo que sobrevive surge de la interacción entre la adaptabilidad y algunas condiciones del entorno.

Remember that nobody accepts randomness in his own success, only his failure

that the Black Swan has three attributes: unpredictability, consequences, and retrospective explainability. Let

There may be some differences in skills, but what truly separates the two is for the most part a single factor: luck. Plain luck.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

these "computable" risks are largely absent from real life!

that the world is less random than it actually is.

The occurrence of a highly improbable event is the equivalent of the nonoccurrence of a highly probable one

Randomness, in the end, is just unknowledge. The world is opaque and appearances fool us.

just as we tend to underestimate the role of luck in life in general, we tend to overestimate it in games of chance.

The problem is that they did not want these tables to exhibit any form of regularity. Yet real randomness does not look random!

because these professions are more immune to randomness.

we have a tendency to underestimate the role of randomness in human affairs

my wish is for people in general to remain fools of randomness (so I can trade against them), yet for there to remain a minority intelligent enough to value my methods and hire my services.

Such income provides them some insulation from randomness.

Political and economic "tail events" are unpredictable, and their probabilities are not scientifically measurable. No matter how many dollars are spent on research, predicting revolutions is not the same as counting cards; humans will never be able to turn politics and economics into the tractable randomness of blackjack.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

I am convinced of that after spending almost all my adult and professional years in a fierce fight between my brain (not Fooled by Randomness) and my emotions (completely Fooled by Randomness) in which the only success I've had is in going around my emotions rather than rationalizing them.

though we play down the role of chance, especially when it comes to our own discoveries.

or it can be just plain randomness, nothing else.

The larger the role of the Black Swan, the harder it will be for us to predict.

Si veo a una mujer embarazada, el sexo del niño que lleva en su seno es para mí una cuestión puramente aleatoria (un 50% para cada sexo); pero no para el ginecólogo, que podría haber hecho una ecografía. En la práctica, la aleatoriedad es fundamentalmente información incompleta.