Quotes About Inference

condenada suerte, se dijo mordiéndose el labio inferior mientras cerraba la puerta tras de, sí,——la de un hombre que ha ideado una de las mejores cadenas de razonamiento del mundo—y tiene al mismo tiempo una mujer con una cabeza tan dura que es imposible hacer entrar en ella una sola inferencia, aunque la salvación o destrucción de su propia alma esté en juego!

The statistician cannot excuse himself from the duty of getting his head clear on the principles of scientific inference, but equally no other thinking man can avoid a like obligation.

Definition of Statistics: The science of producing unreliable facts from reliable figures.

We can scarcely avoid the inference that light consists in the transverse undulations of the same medium which is the cause of electric and magnetic phenomena.

Correlation doesn't imply causation, but it does waggle its eyebrows suggestively and gesture furtively while mouthing 'look over there.'

Till facts are grouped & called there can be no prediction. The only advantage of discovering laws is to foretell what will happen & to see bearing of scattered facts.

When the difficulty of a problem lies only in finding out what follows from certain fixed premises, mathematical methods furnish invaluable wings for flying over intermediate obstructions.

All science is intelligent inference; excessive literalism is delusion, not a humble bowing to evidence.

One attempt to avoid the problem of induction involves weakening the demand that scientific knowledge be proven true, and resting content with the claim that scientific claims can be shown to be probably true in the light of the evidence. So the vast number of observations that can be invoked to support the claim that materials denser than air fall diWInwards on earth, although it does not permit us to prove the truth of the claim, does warrant the assertion that the claim is probably true.

One man's affirmation of the consecuent is another's man inference to the best explanation (Psychosemantics, pp. 149)

Bayesian statistics?

When you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth.

How often have I said to you that when you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth?

The ocean is the last frontier of human empirical knowledge; even the contours on that eighth-grader's globe are the product of a mix of scientific measurement, inference and conjecture.

Sometimes one must make extended conclusions from limited data.

I'm very familiar with how people can confuse correlation with causation.

No one talked, but they all said plenty.

I have stressed this distinction because it is an important one. It defines the fundamental difference between probability and statistics: the former concerns predictions based on fixed probabilities; the latter concerns the inference of those probabilities based on observed data.

As Lerner had predicted, the observers had a need to understand the situation in terms of cause and effect.

for the sake of their own sanity," people overestimate the degree to which ability can be inferred from success.

Pearson invented a method, called the chi-square test, by which you can determine whether a set of data actually conforms to the distribution you believe it conforms to.

Induction means really the process of coming to conclusions on the basis of observation. Deduction is the process of coming to conclusions on the basis of earlier abstractions.

the first requirement of expanding his knowledge is induction, which is in essence the process of inferring a generalization from observations.

A necessary complement to induction is deduction, the standard example of which is: "All men are mortal. Socrates is a man. Therefore, Socrates is mortal." The