Quotes About Overconfidence

the fourth villain of decision making is overconfidence. People think they know more than they do about how the future will unfold.

Ich fürchtete das Schlimmste, nicht, weil ich den Plan der Griechen Zug um Zug durchschaute, sondern weil ich den haltlosen Übermut der Troer sah. Ich schrie, bat, beschwor und redete in Zungen.

How many times had those awful words - "I know what I'm doing" - been uttered throughout history as prelude to disaster?

Jane did believe she was all that,

I had this attitude, that Silicon Valley obnoxious attitude, that I know what I'm doing, and the rest was going to be pretty easy.

In the entertainment business, everybody is desperately insecure, and the guys in Silicon Valley seem to be slightly overconfident.

There is really an issue in Silicon Valley with companies getting a bit ahead of themselves in terms of their own self-perception of their own success.

If overconfidence can cause the Roman Empire to fall, I ought to be able to get a ground ball.

We're generally overconfident in our opinions and our impressions and judgments.

When one is young, one can become distracted and overconfident.

What basically happens is that when a company becomes great, and I'm being a bit rude here, people think they're some kind of genius. So now we can move into all sorts of other businesses because the net bottom line is, it's because we're just geniuses. They become overconfident and expand too far.

If you have ever worked in an office, then you have probably experienced a particular form of bad management displayed by bosses who seem unaware of their limitations and are clearly and unjustifiably pleased with themselves. They are overconfident, abrasive, and very much in awe of themselves, particularly in light of their actual talents. They are their own biggest fans by some distance.

Confidence is inspiring. Yet so often misplaced. (Robert Thornhill)

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We believed we knew everything they were thinking. Those Magic intercepts made us feel invulnerable. No, a better word is cocky. Their diplomats are chatting back and forth with Tokyo about the weather or color of their new Cadillacs while their military put a plan together to kick us in the teeth. We thought we knew everything. We didn't. -President Franklin Delano Roosevelt

A German team could be quite good. But maybe they are a little bit too convinced that they are the best.

I think the people who've been the most overconfident in our business in the last decade have been the people that called themselves risk managers.

It was the age of confidence. Arrogance was epidemic.

I trust my arm, maybe a little too much.

The Japanese people were rapidly succumbing to what would later be called shoribyo, or "victory disease"—a faith that Japan was invincible, and could afford to treat its enemies with contempt. Its symptoms were overconfidence, a failure to weigh risks properly, and a basic misunderstanding of the enemy.

those who soar the highest, fall the hardest. Watch out that you don't take a tumble.

We're all victims of our own hubris at times.

The biggest victories can lead to the greatest foolishness.

There is no fool like a careless gambler who starts taking victory for granted.