Quotes About Overconfidence

Confident. Cocky. Lazy. Dead.

Never underestimate a man who overestimates himself.

It may make him overconfident. He may make foolish errors.

Some of them failed, like [General Joseph "Fighting Joe"] Hooker at Chancellorsville [April 30 to May 6, 1863], because when they won a victory they lost their heads, and did not know what to do with it.

So the holy elders," I added, "claim that the best strategy to cope with troublesome logismoi is simply to ignore them." "Precisely. Our first defense against destructive logismoi is complete indifference. This is the healthiest and most productive method to head them off right at their inception. Ignore them completely. Never open up a dialogue with these intruders. Do not interact with them either out of curiosity or out of overconfidence.

The trouble with my generation is that we all think we're fucking geniuses.

The logic is that of a man falling from a skyscraper who waves to a friend on the fiftieth floor and says it's all fine, just look how many floors I've passed with no problems.

Sampson wanted to be "a seven-foot-four guard." He was too pretty to be a soldier. Against the profoundly overmatched Chaminade, he took just nine shots and let his unbeatable team lose to a bunch of beach bum nobodies. He was the greatest, but he wasn't that great.

Overconfidence will negate our technological advantage faster than anything the other guy could do.

Dictators fall when they're overconfident; they stay in power when they're paranoid.

He that climbs highest had the greatest fall.

The best way to reduce opponents' overconfidence and make them open to your position might seem to be an overwhelming argument that shows them why they are wrong and why you are right. Sometimes that works, but only rarely. What usually works better is to ask questions—in particular, to ask opponents for reasons. Questions are often more powerful than assertions.

One of life's sorest tragedies is that the people who brim with confidence are always the wrong people.

Empires always have the hubris to think they are indestructible, when in fact they are always unsustainable.

Failure has gone to his head.

Tak seorang pun yang lebih angkuh daripada orang yang percaya bahwa dirinya kebal dari marabahaya dunia.

No man is more prideful than he who believes himself immune to the dangers of the world.

The illusion that we understand the past fosters overconfidence in our ability to predict the future.

What you need to remember, with these guys, is that they don't know they're con men. They're wildly overconfident. Omnipotence, omniscience--that's part of the mythology that surrounds the Special Forces....Your guy can walk in the door and promise training in something he personally doesn't know how to do, and not even realize he's bullshitting about his own capabilities. It's a special kind of gullibility....

Checklists provide insurance against overconfidence.

You encounter a choice. But narrow framing makes you miss options. • You analyze your options. But the confirmation bias leads you to gather self-serving information. • You make a choice. But short-term emotion will often tempt you to make the wrong one. • Then you live with it. But you'll often be overconfident about how the future will unfold.

Not cocky overconfidence that comes from collecting biased information and ignoring uncertainties, but the real confidence that comes from knowing you've made the best decision that you could.

You encounter a choice. But narrow framing makes you miss options.     ââ'¬Â¢ You analyze your options. But the confirmation bias leads you to gather self-serving information.     ââ'¬Â¢ You make a choice. But short-term emotion will often tempt you to make the wrong one.     ââ'¬Â¢ Then you live with it. But you'll often be overconfident about how the future will unfold.

tripwires allow us the certainty of committing to a course of action, even a risky one, while minimizing the costs of overconfidence.