Quotes About Overconfidence

When a beginner wins he feels brilliant and invincible Then he takes wild risk and loses everything.

And though you think the world is at your feet, it can rise up and tread on you.

For reasons that are going to become clear, a good decision tool seeks to reduce the role of cognitive bias (such as overconfidence, hindsight bias, or confirmation bias) and a pros and cons list tends to amplify the role of bias.

Except for some effects that I attribute mostly to age, my intuitive thinking is just as prone to overconfidence, extreme predictions, and the planning fallacy as it was before I made a study of these issues.

A very disturbing feature of overconfidence is that it often appears to be poorly associated with knowledge - that is, the more ignorant the individual, the more confident he or she might be.

When a man thinks he has got a good deal of strength, and is self-confident, you may look for his downfall. It may be years before it comes to light, but it is already commenced.

Success breeds a disregard of the possibility of failure.

One more such victory and we are undone.

Nothing fails like success when you rely on it too much.

Premature success gives one an almost mystical conception of destiny as opposed to will power-at its worst the Napoleonic delusion.

Success has ruined many a man.

Success usually breeds a degree of hubris.

The top line is that hubris is a disease that comes from success.

Men are least safe from what success induces them not to fear.

Hubris, that was the word — believing you were too good, too strong, invulnerable. The world had a way of teaching you that you weren't invulnerable.

It is only because of their stupidity that they are able to be so sure of themselves.

It's only because of their stupidity that they're able to be so sure of themselves.

Stupidity combined with arrogance and a huge ego will get you a long way.

Companies selling a product play down its vulnerability and emphasize its robustness. But only after technology leaves the dock is it really tested. For human operators in control of a supposedly infallible system, complacency and overconfidence can take over, and caution may be thrown to the wind.

El orgullo va delante de la destrucción, y un espíritu altanero, delante de una caída»

Incompetence annoys me. Overconfidence terrifies me.

Goliath is not quite the giant he thinks he is.

Si te salvas por los pelos, quedas traumatizado. Si te salvas holgadamente, piensas que eres invencible.

Los seres que abrigan una idea tan elevada de sí mismos nunca imaginan que puedan llegar a caer algún día. Cuando se produce la caída, estos seres se vacían, azorados, desprevenidos; su sustancia se evapora en el estupor del fracaso. Sin medias tintas, ni matices, y sin previo aviso. Así son.