Quotes About Overconfidence

In 1912, a man named Franz Reichelt jumped off the Eiffel Tower wearing a parachute suit he designed himself. He jumped to test his invention--he expected to fly--but instead he fell straight down, hitting the ground like a meteor and leaving a 5.9-inch-deep crater from the impact. Did he mean to kill himself? Doubtful. I think he was just cocky, and also stupid.

The hardest tumble a man can make is to fall over his own bluff.

There's always an element of self delusion among people who believe they ought to be President. There's an underestimation of your opponent and an overestimation of your own abilities. This is compatible with being rich and powerful, the idea that we were blessed by God because we deserve to be blessed.

hubris. It means extreme confidence or arrogance to the point that one loses touch with reality and overestimates one's abilities.

Just as the Hare was overconfident in its speed, so the developers are overconfident in their ability to remain productive.

The developers may think that the answer is to start over from scratch and redesign the whole system—but that's just the Hare talking again. The same overconfidence that led to the mess is now telling them that they can build it better if only they can start the race over. The reality is less rosy: Their overconfidence will drive the redesign into the same mess as the original project.

The bigger it bloats, the harder it falls.

The weakness stems from our natural tendency to overestimate our skills. We normally have a self-opinion that is somewhat elevated in relation to reality.

All civilisations consider themselves invulnerable; history warns us that none is.

How errors of human judgment can infect even the smartest people, thanks to overconfidence, lack of attention to details, and excessive trust in the judgments of others, stemming from a failure to understand that others are not making independent judgments but are themselves following still others—the blind leading the blind.

El orgullo viene delante de la destrucción y un espíritu arrogante antes de la caída»

Confidence is a fine trait. Over-confidence isn't.

Conceited little mega-puppy.

False confidence often leads to disaster.

Your mouth is writin' checks your butt can't cash

I have a bit of pride, which is always my downfall.

Most of us think that we are 'better than average' in most things. We are also 'miscalibrated,' meaning that our sense of the probability of events doesn't line up with reality. When we say we are sure about a certain fact, for example, we may well be right only half the time.

Back during my VJ days, I was overconfident as I was on television and was earning money very early in life.

We needed an over-confident Ted, not a defensive Ted, because overconfidence breeds mistakes, and that's just what we needed our Ted to make in order catch him.

As Kurzban has summarized this finding, "We think we're better than average at not being biased in thinking that we're better than average.

Confidence, maybe," Chang said. "Or overconfidence. He thinks we're dead by now. Maybe he's got nothing else to worry about. He could be the apex predator here. Unchallenged.

The complacent the self-indulgent the soft societies are about to be swept away with the debris of history.

To a winner, complacency and overconfidence can be destructive. To losers, desperation and despondency are just as harmful.

We humans, it appears, are prone to overconfidence, herding behavior, unwarranted extrapolation of recent trends, and contagious waves of wishful thinking—all key ingredients of bubbles.