Quotes About Overconfidence

It is only because of their stupidity that they are able to be so sure of themselves.

How do you avoid overconfidence? By telling yourself at least a few times per year, 'The market is much smarter than I will ever be.

Differences in desirability create havoc in at least two fundamental ways. The first centers around misperceptions. A man who is a 6 but thinks he's an 8 will be utterly irritated when the woman who's an 8 whom he's trying to chat up rejects his advances. Although women and men both can err in their self-perceived mate value, research shows that men are more likely than women to be overconfident in a variety of domains

How many times had those awful words - "I know what I'm doing" - been uttered throughout history as prelude to disaster?

Smart, hard-working people aren't exempted from professional disasters of overconfidence. Often, they just go aground in the more difficult voyages they choose, relying on their self-appraisals that they have superior talents and methods."39

Ninety-three percent of American motorists believe they are better-than-average drivers. In a 2007 BusinessWeek poll, 90 percent of the managers surveyed believed their performance in the workplace to be in the top 10 percent.4

Like Achilles, the hero who forgot his heel, or like Icarus who, flying close to the sun, forgot that his wings were made of wax, we should be wary when triumphant ideas seem unassailable, for then there is all the more reason to predict their downfall.

overestimating!!

I lull them into a false sense of security by watching me pitch... If overconfidence can cause the Roman Empire to fall, I ought to be able to get a ground ball.

To the end of history, social orders will probably destroy themselves in an effort to prove they are indestructible.

Overconfident investors generally believe that they have more knowledge and information than they actually have. As a result, they tend to trade too much and underperform the market.

the planning fallacy—the systematic tendency toward unrealistic optimism about the time it takes to complete projects.

Hubris means deadly pride. Thinking you can do things better than anyone else.

We thought we were done with these things but we were wrong. We thought, because we had power, we had wisdom.

Failure has gone to his head.

Man's fatal flaw is misplaced optimism.

There's a reason they say,"Pride goeth before a fall.

When the evening began, Fouquet was at the top of the world. By the time it had ended, he was at the bottom. Voltaire, 1694-1778

We are always more confident of our reasoning than we should be. Indeed overconfidence, not just expert overconfidence but general overconfidence, is one of the most common illusions we experience. No doubt this analysis is yet another example: do we really know any of this?

In other words, the more stupid one is, the more he thinks he knows.

The more stupid one is the more he thinks he knows.

In other words, the more stupid one is, the more he thinks he knows, observed the shaggy man.

The events of the Titanic disaster can be seen as a symbol of what happens through overconfidence in technology, complacence, and a mindset of profits over people's safety.

overconfident individuals achieved higher social status, respect, and influence in groups.